As enrollment declines, MCPS projects drop of nearly 7,000 students (6%) by 2032

[Anonymous]

https://bethesdamagazine.com/2025/11/04/mcps-enrollment-declines/

Enrollment in Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS) decreased by 2,641 students from 2024–2025 to 2025-2026, and the decline is expected to continue with the district projecting a drop of 7,000 additional students (6%) over the next six years, according to MCPS officials.

This is after ~4% job since 2018

[Anonymous]

That would be slightly lower than the projected decline in total k-12 enrollment nationally: https://nces.ed.gov/programs/PES/section-1.asp

People are having fewer kids.

[Anonymous]

This explains why none of the new Woodward options have any overcrowding.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:That would be slightly lower than the projected decline in total k-12 enrollment nationally: https://nces.ed.gov/programs/PES/section-1.asp

People are having fewer kids.

Yep, most if not all the DMV school districts have enrollment decline.

[Anonymous]

Any way to get the racial breakdown aggregated out of that data for students leaving??? Would be interesting wouldn't it!?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Any way to get the racial breakdown aggregated out of that data for students leaving??? Would be interesting wouldn't it!?

Hispanics declining the most

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:This explains why none of the new Woodward options have any overcrowding.

Some options have Blair overcrowded or at capacity.

[Anonymous]

Watch out MoCo. Taylor promised to close more schools at yesterday's BOE meeting. SSIMS is just the start.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:This explains why none of the new Woodward options have any overcrowding.

Some options have Blair overcrowded or at capacity.

Not any more. They revised all of the data tables to reflect the lower enrollment projections.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Any way to get the racial breakdown aggregated out of that data for students leaving??? Would be interesting wouldn't it!?

It's not going to show anything interesting. As the article points out, this is the result of national trendlines around birth rates.

[Anonymous]

Well at least this solves some of the issues that people were complaining about in the Woodward study. Now no high school appears overcrowded in any of the options.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Well at least this solves some of the issues that people were complaining about in the Woodward study. Now no high school appears overcrowded in any of the options.

Except for Wheaton once you subtract out the magical extra 500 capacity that they are supposed to somehow get from Edison. But Kennedy is no longer overcrowded in these options and Wheaton is less so

The lower utilization also allows tons of extra space for regional program enrollment, meaning there is no real reason anymore that the programs have to be figured out this year at the same time as the boundaries.

[Anonymous]

I've been saying - it doesn't make sense to open 2 new HS, and expand a few more. Waste of money.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Any way to get the racial breakdown aggregated out of that data for students leaving??? Would be interesting wouldn't it!?

It's not going to show anything interesting. As the article points out, this is the result of national trendlines around birth rates.

+1
Enrollment is going down everywhere including the White areas. White people aren't having a lot of babies.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Well at least this solves some of the issues that people were complaining about in the Woodward study. Now no high school appears overcrowded in any of the options.

Except for Wheaton once you subtract out the magical extra 500 capacity that they are supposed to somehow get from Edison. But Kennedy is no longer overcrowded in these options and Wheaton is less so

The lower utilization also allows tons of extra space for regional program enrollment, meaning there is no real reason anymore that the programs have to be figured out this year at the same time as the boundaries.

Good point!