| If a state delegation is deadlocked (ie, 3 Dem Congressional members and 3 GOP members), their vote is tossed aside. In the House, the a candidate needs to win the majority of the delegation to capture it. It would be interesting to see which states are closely split. |
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House Seats Democrats need to target to ensure House Delegation majority (w/ Cook Rating):
FL15 Lean R FL26 Tossup AKAL Lean R MTAL Lean R MI03 Lean R MI06 Lean R PA01 Lean R PA08 Lean D PA10 Tossup IA01 Tossup IA02 Tossup IA03 Tossup |
Close delegations based on current composition: Arizona: R - 5, D - 6 Florida: R - 16, D - 13 Colorado: R - 3, D - 5 Iowa: R - 3, D - 3 (flippable! Give to Greenfield) Maine: R - 1, I - 1, D -2 Montana: R - 2, D - 1 (flippable! Give to Bullock) Pennsylvania: R - 10, D - 10 Wisconsin: R - 6, D - 4 (flippable! Pump money into WI House campaigns) https://projects.propublica.org/represent/states |
Wait, I think the nightmare tie scenario doesn’t include House + Senate but is just about the House? |