This 100%. |
That’s great, but it doesn’t match reality: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/05/27/millennial-recession-covid/%3foutputType=amp |
In 1989, interest rates were as high as 11%. |
My reality is definitely different. Not sure why you linked to a story about Millennials. Millennials are roughly 25-40 years old these days, and no one would dispute their very bad luck/timing. But recent college graduates are Gen Z, and they have or will be entering a solid job market. All of the 2020 and 2021 grads in my neighborhood that I know of are employed. No baristas, either. |
They talked about Gen Z in the article - basically that it is bad for millennials and getting worse for Gen Z. |
Yes, but those 14 years throw off all the other calculations. Importantly, as PP points at, at about 3.6% inflation, a $145K would be work $740K. But it is not - it is worth $2M. Even more importantly, and taking into account the actual year of purchase (1989), using 3.6% inflation, the home would only be worth $450K today. Again, it is worth $2M. At 11%, $116K mortgage in 1989 is $1105, or $3426 today adjusted for inflation (using the 3.6% PP used). That gets you a mortgage of about $812K at 3%, or a $1,015,000 home with 20% down. Again, there home is worth twice that now. |
Those comparisons aren't even on par. The difference between the former wars and Afg/Iraq is how they impacted the entire societies. For most GenX, they would not have been directly impacted by AFg/Iraq wars unless they had enlisted themselves or had family that had done so. Conversely, Vietnam affected a much larger swath of people becuase they were drafted (many) which caused widespread resentment and opposition to the war. It was all encompassing. A WWI or WW2? Well, if you cannot tell the difference there then you are not too sharp. Sorry, fears regarding climate change and a potential, future "Cold War" with China do not stack up to the actual scenarios where entire societies were plunged into war. Again, current generations have not gone through anywhere near the same hardships as their parents which has changed spending and saving habits. This is not rocket science. You scared? You save. You feel good? You spend. And yes, the world is significantly more secure than the last century where we had the ENTIRE PLANET went to war against itself. Twice. Tell me, would you rather be living in 1914, 1939, 1955, or 2021? Even with COVID, I take 2021. |
1955 isn't that bad if you're a white guy. I wouldn't want the racism or the gender roles, but in terms of stability of the planet 1955 beats 2021. People freaked out about the Cold War but we still have all those nuclear weapons--increasingly in even less stable hands. Covid plus extreme weather due to climate change and the instability associated with climate change. |
And all you dcum’s who salivate over McLean VA think you are woke now?? |
Yeah I’ll take 1955 too, thanks. Looking forward to owning a house and paying for college on a single income. Also can’t wait to tell young people they’re it’s their fault for not having these things. Also, pay for my healthcare while I vote for Bush and Trump. No, Social Security won’t be there for you youngsters, that’s for me too. But buy my house for $2M! You’re getting a great deal. |