I mean ... have you ever BEEN to a US ER during flu season? It's not pretty. We have a jacked-up medical system in the US, and everyone even peripherally involved or slightly observant knows that. We also lack the political and social will to complete large projects especially if they cause inconvenience to a privileged sectors. I mean ffs, municipalities are filing lawsuits to stop quarantine facilities from being built there. We suck as a society when we are faced with the need for collective action. I think China is horrific and scary in its scale of human rights abuses as well, by the way. But that has nothing to do with the coming sh*tshow in the US. |
LOL |
And then we saw China expend great energy in creating quarantine centers and scaling up treatment capacity. It would be foolish not to see that China did some things right that may not happen in the US (and I'm not talking about locking everyone in.) |
I hope Scott Gottlieb is auditioning to come back to the government ... |
Move to China, then. Have fun with your coronavirus. |
Any clusters I think are just a by product of an initial person somehow being tested, perhaps because he had severe pneumonia. Here's an example. Say three travelers pick up the infection from Milan all return to the US and all come down with COVID-19. One traveler is a student and goes to campus and spreads illness there. The student is sick for a few days but even if she called the health care center they wouldn't have tested her 2 weeks ago -- no contact with China. She goes on to infect many students at her college, plus a child care center where she volunteers. Those cases are just sprouting up now but again most are young so no surprising pneumonia. Only in another two weeks will some infections sprout up in those kids' grandparents or in contacts of other college students she infected. One traveler is a 35 year old yoga teacher returning from a vacation. She is sick with a fever and cough but thinks nothing of it. She passes the infection on to her yoga students and people at the health food store where she shops. One of the workers at the health food store passes it on to his grandma in a nursing home who is now ill with pneumonia but she's 85, no one thinks anything of it. No one knows anything about the COVID-19 in the community or in the nursing home at the moment. One traveler is a businessman and goes to a conference and meets a lot of people. He's 58 and has diabetes. He infects the same number of people as the college student, but because he actually developed severe symptoms, he got tested. There is now a cluster related to the conference everyone is worried about and contact testing... but no one is thinking at all about the other two clusters yet because no one tests anyone unless they are linked to a known case. |
They have reproduce many things - maybe the |
I completely agree, but I also wish that, given what we know about the spread happening without symptoms, we had a much more robust testing scheme nationally. My spouse had secondary contact (so- contact with someone who had contact with a confirmed case). No one in the chain - including the confirmed case- had symptoms. If we knew whether the first contact individual has covid19, we would self quarantine. But for now... it’s a massive disruption (what do we do about the kids, etc) that may be unnecessary |
Agreed. And this is why I think it's been around longer than the last couple weeks. Lots of people with mild symptoms. We had a virus with symptoms very similar to Corona go through our area a month ago. I've treated a crazy number of pneumonia patients at the hospital the last couple of months. I'm not saying we shouldn't be concerned or shouldn't take precautions, but the panic on this forum doesn't match what I see IRL |
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Doctors from hospital in Brooklyn are posting on twitter, looking for help with treating their 30-year-old colleague who has quickly become critically ill with COVID-19.
@GileadSciences my physician colleague has worsening coronavirus #COVID19 . Gilead reps said they don't have access to the drug trial on weekends. Please help. Contact me please. Healthy 30 yr old male with sudden, rapidly progressing resp failure. (posted with permission). My colleague has a 9 month old child. This is NOT your regular FLU. Any physician who says "this is just the flu but a 'little bit worse' " is dead wrong. An abundance of precaution is needed at this time. If anyone (China?) has advice on what to do next for this patient #EPeeps https://twitter.com/FYang_EP/status/1236723843097649154?s=20 Physicians from all over the world - Iran, China, Singapore, etc - are responding to him with different cocktails of drugs they've used. |
OK that makes sense. If everyone isn't needing ER, then why the huge panic? And it stands to reason that anyone right now who has cold/flu symptoms should simply stay home. |
I love how so many people think whatever fever they had a month ago is this novel virus from China. If it was endemic here it would be widespread in all the countries testing more thoroughly |
+1 They did a great job slowing the spread. So far, we are failing on some basics like testing. |
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UW Medical System is setting up a drive through testing clinic:
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2020/03/08/813501632/seattle-health-care-system-offers-drive-through-coronavirus-testing-for-workers
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