Of course rents go down when property costs are lower. Why else would Baltimore be offering $1 row homes for sale when those same homes used to be for people with good jobs and a steady income? |
MCPS has a bloated central office. |
Everything is more expensive. You would just spend your money on the wrong things anyway. |
You really don’t understand how rent works. Some buildings in Montgomery County pay zero in county property taxes but those buildings are also some of the most expensive in the county. If your theory were correct, those units would be cheaper than comparable surrounding units. The Baltimore row home prices reflect the substantial rehab that those units will need combined with low expected rents. The $1 deal is the most the city can do to see if those units can generate a decent cap rate. Property prices go down when rents go down. Land prices go up when costs go down. The market rent is still the market rent. The median rent will usually work out to about 30 percent of median income. Rents over time and across geographies are highly correlated with incomes, not with zoning policy or property taxes. Also, you should expect landlords to take a good portion of the savings that tenants see from the new income tax system. Rents are based first and foremost on tenants’ ability to pay. The flood of stimulus during the pandemic was one of the drivers of rent increases at the time because the stimulus increased tenants’ ability to pay. Be grateful for rent stabilization or the landlords would totally defeat the stated purpose of the income tax changes. |
https://cre.mit.edu/news-insights/can-landlords-really-pass-on-higher-property-taxes-to-tenants/?utm_source=perplexity |
https://www.philadelphiafed.org/consumer-finance/consumer-credit/property-tax-pass-through-to-renters-a-quasi-experimental-approach |
https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/sites/default/files/w05-2.pdf |
Hey champ. Rents can only rise if the market will bear higher rents. https://www.frbsf.org/research-and-insights/publications/economic-letter/2026/02/housing-affordability-and-housing-demand/ Input cost models neglect the role of the overall market in setting rents. The studies you cite attribute rent increases to taxes without other evidence and without ruling out other drivers of rent increases. |
Those studies do look at other drivers of rent increases. The article you linked to doesn't look at taxes at all. |
Nobody is claiming that taxes are the only factor affecting rents. Arguing that taxes don’t affect rental prices is nuts. |
That’s because the model they use looks at the market in a different way. The study I cited uses an approach that better supports its conclusion than the studies you cited. The studies that you cited are narrowly tailored and have a high risk of confirmation bias. The study I cited is also more aligned with how the market actually works. Landlords do not price their units based on costs. They price their units based on market conditions. We know this from the anti-trust suits that state attorneys general filed after it was revealed that landlords are colluding to fix prices. |
+1 the article PP cited offers the following finding.related.to housing costs (not specific to rental housing): "We find that average income growth relates strongly to house price growth and that house prices generally keep pace with average income. " It does not find that rent increases are only due to increases in household incomes or that property taxes do not affect rents. |
| I’m happy to pay my fair share to help our community. |
YIMBYism relies on people not understanding how housing is priced. Let’s say a landlord’s property taxes go up $360 per unit in a year. But the landlord can’t find enough tenants willing or able to pay an extra $30 a month to maintain even 90 percent occupancy. The landlord in that case must accept lower occupancy or decide not to pass on the property tax through higher rent. Similarly, if the landlord’s property taxes stay the same, but there are more people willing to pay an extra $30 a month, then the landlord will raise rents. Rents are about the market, not the cost of providing housing. Property taxes affect the price of property, not the cost of rent. |
| I hope you all are watching the council. See who's completely incompetent for yourselves. |