CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:When is testing (and therefore, I assume, the number of cases) going to pick up in the US? I've been watching https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

While yes, the total cases per day in the US has been increasing, it's been by very few each day. I'm worried there will be an explosion of cases when doctors everywhere finally have access to tests. Especially since so many people aren't taking this seriously because the "numbers" are so small.

I don’t know the answer to your question, but as you probably know the numbers will also explode at some point because the rate of spread is exponential.

Yes. But they are currently ticking up more slowly than expected the past few days. The rate of increase has actually dropped (the total has gone up obviously), with today on track for an even lower rate of increase and/or no increase at all. The number of cases reported doesn't even seem to capture the increase we'd expect to see at this point, based on the number of cases we have (especially since no big efforts to contain have been made by any level of government).

I would have much more faith in a statement that the rate of increase has slowed if we were actually testing people.

Exactly!! People are literally trying to get tested on doctors orders and they’re getting denied a test.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:When is testing (and therefore, I assume, the number of cases) going to pick up in the US? I've been watching https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

While yes, the total cases per day in the US has been increasing, it's been by very few each day. I'm worried there will be an explosion of cases when doctors everywhere finally have access to tests. Especially since so many people aren't taking this seriously because the "numbers" are so small.

I don’t know the answer to your question, but as you probably know the numbers will also explode at some point because the rate of spread is exponential.

Yes. But they are currently ticking up more slowly than expected the past few days. The rate of increase has actually dropped (the total has gone up obviously), with today on track for an even lower rate of increase and/or no increase at all. The number of cases reported doesn't even seem to capture the increase we'd expect to see at this point, based on the number of cases we have (especially since no big efforts to contain have been made by any level of government).

I would have much more faith in a statement that the rate of increase has slowed if we were actually testing people.

Exactly!! People are literally trying to get tested on doctors orders and they’re getting denied a test.

I’m the one who posted above (the original one quoted + the response that starts with “yes”) and that’s exactly my point. Numbers feel manipulated. There’s no way I buy that the rate of increase has slowed. Very worried for the numbers once there is widespread testing.

[Anonymous]

A lot of countries aren't doing broad testing of anyone who wants a test or has any symptoms of anything at all.

It seems to be a pretty common strategy in many places to only test those with some link to exposure or doc's recommendation based on specific symptom profile.

I know a few countries did very broad drive through testing but that doesn't seem to be the norm.

There has to be a reason why a lot of developed countries aren't just testing anyone who wants a test.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Yes, we understand you. If you only followed the news....

Anyways, I will continue to look to experts who are world leaders in pandemic management - not to DCUM posters who think they know more than any expert out there. The WHO pandemic team spent weeks in China learning everything they could. The experts are not saying to panic. In fact, they are saying the opposite. They are saying go about your life but use normal precautions like handwashing to avoid getting sick. Most people outside of DCUM are still doing that. Flights are full, people are living their lives outside of DCUM. The anxiety on here is insane.

WHO Has Admitted an Error in Its Assessment of Wuhan Coronavirus Risk

The Geneva-based UN agency said in a situation report late Sunday that the risk was "very high in China, high at the regional level and high at the global level."

In a footnote, the WHO explained that it had stated "incorrectly" in its previous reports on Thursday, Friday and Saturday that the global risk was "moderate".

The correction of the global risk assessment does not mean that an international health emergency has been declared.

The WHO on Thursday stopped short of declaring the novel coronavirus a public health emergency of international concern - a rare designation used only for the worst outbreaks that would trigger more concerted global action.

The virus, which was first identified in the city of Wuhan in China on December 31, has since infected more than 2,700 people worldwide, including a few cases identified in over a dozen other countries.

A 'sizeable' mistake

WHO chief who is visiting China this week to discuss ways of containing the outbreak, came under intense questioning from reporters on Thursday over his decision not to declare the emergency.

Some reporters asked whether the decision was politicised.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, same guy who in January said it would not get out of China. We don't know more than the experts, but their expert opinions are not always correct and are always subject to change once proven wrong.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:

Anonymous wrote:Israel considering mandatory 14 day quarantine for all entrants to the country.

https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-03-08-20-intl-hnk/index.html

Israel has 17 cases--this move would essentially shut down all tourism.

Actually, now 29 per CNN recent update.

Just jumped to 39.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:A lot of countries aren't doing broad testing of anyone who wants a test or has any symptoms of anything at all.

It seems to be a pretty common strategy in many places to only test those with some link to exposure or doc's recommendation based on specific symptom profile.

I know a few countries did very broad drive through testing but that doesn't seem to be the norm.

There has to be a reason why a lot of developed countries aren't just testing anyone who wants a test.

This is a common complaint in almost every EU country. (I can't think of one EU country where people aren't complaining about this.) In some countries it seems to be a cost issue, in others a denial issue, and in others stubborn adherence to out moded WHO criteria.

[Anonymous]

U.S. case tracker

https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en

[Anonymous]

Since the op wants to hear from places like the WHO. Did you not read this from Dr Tedros last week.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.france24.com/en/20200306-coronavirus-world-health-organisation-who-tedros-adhanom-ghebreyesus


The World Health Organization warned Thursday that a "long list" of countries were not showing "the level of political commitment" needed to "match the level of the threat we all face".

"This is not a drill," WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told reporters.

"This epidemic is a threat for every country, rich and poor."

Tedros called on the heads of government in every country to take charge of the response and "coordinate all sectors", rather than leaving it to health ministries.

What is needed, he said, is "aggressive preparedness."

In the United States, the largest nursing union said a survey of thousands of nurses at hospitals showed "truly disturbing" results.

They show that a large percentage of our nation's hospitals are unprepared to safely handle COVID-19," said Jane Thomason, a hygiene specialist with the union.

[Anonymous]

California has adopted a slew of policies to deal with the cost of testing and absences from work because of COVID-19 related illnesses or tending to sick family members.

https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/OPA/Pages/NR20-012.aspx

[Anonymous]

Up to 5 cases now in Maryland....

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:A lot of countries aren't doing broad testing of anyone who wants a test or has any symptoms of anything at all.

It seems to be a pretty common strategy in many places to only test those with some link to exposure or doc's recommendation based on specific symptom profile.

I know a few countries did very broad drive through testing but that doesn't seem to be the norm.

There has to be a reason why a lot of developed countries aren't just testing anyone who wants a test.

Right. And that country also has had the best success in containing it.

How is the limited testing working out in Europe?

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Up to 5 cases now in Maryland....

Yesterday Massachusetts had 13 cases. Today we have 28. Some still awaiting secondary confirmation from CDC. Most from a conference at a hotel for abiogenesis employees

[Anonymous]

45 minutes ago from Quantico. The Base just raised their Alert to Code Yellow. The Marine is being treated at Ft Belvoir. He lived and worked on base at Quantico.

https://www.facebook.com/293325014064727/posts/2954442514619617/?d=n

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:45 minutes ago from Quantico. The Base just raised their Alert to Code Yellow. The Marine is being treated at Ft Belvoir. He lived and worked on base at Quantico.

https://www.facebook.com/293325014064727/posts/2954442514619617/?d=n

School there closed until 3/11.

[Anonymous]

Anonymous wrote:Up to 5 cases now in Maryland....

ANNAPOLIS, MD—Governor Larry Hogan today announced that state officials have identified two additional positive cases of novel coronavirus in the State of Maryland. The state now has five total confirmed cases, and 62 negative tests for COVID-19.

One woman, a Harford County resident in her 80s, contracted the virus while traveling overseas and is currently hospitalized.
One man, a Montgomery County resident in his 60s, contracted the virus while traveling overseas, and was briefly hospitalized.

https://governor.maryland.gov/2020/03/08/governor-hogan-announces-two-additional-cases-of-coronavirus-in-maryland/