Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Anonymous wrote:
Ha, not me. I just got convinced by how many people started chiming in that they are renting out a place. Just soIndia like the 'everyone is investor' problem. I hope no bubble, we just paid a ton for a house we plan to live in for a decade.
given that there are a lot of young people eager to rent group homes in transitional neighborhoods - because on the one hand couples looking to raise kids do not want to buy them, because schools, and OTOH because despite the building boom there are not enough units in well located multifamily for the young millenials - there have to be a lot of rental properties. Somehow the market has to incent people who can to act as landlords.
Of course if the regional economy crashes and burns, that shortage of units in multfamily will disappear, apt rents will decline, and the kids in the group homes will either move to the apts, or bargain for lower rents.
Jobs are shrinking here now, so those millennials will not be coming in droves. Doesn't have to crash just stall, and marginal neighborhoods will tumble with it.
Renting out to group home, ugh talk about destroying your property.
There is some serious sky is falling doom on this site. Back in 2005 when the market crashed, there were serious signs something was wrong: Friends were buying houses with zero down and fudging their mortgage applications - it was all standard stuff. The washington post wrote articles in every Sunday paper back then that there were major concerns about the long term stability of the market.
This seems very different. I have no idea what you are talking about when you say jobs are shrinking. Job numbers are going up very well - better than economists expected. Wage growth has stalled, except for "professionals" who have done well on wages even during the recession (i.e. the population buying in DC).
And the reality is that despite the massive housing crash in 2008, DC weathered it quite nicely with the best close-in neighborhoods seeing gains during that period. We sold a home in Columbia Heights bought at the peak and sold 7 years later for 35% appreciation. Nothing spectacular, but we walked away with a six-figure gain.
As others have said, these close-in neighborhoods that are designated as the next "it" location see prices only go up after thousands of condos are built (opposite of basic economic principles) because filling in empty lots with condos makes the neighborhood more valuable, even if the housing stock is watered down. Row houses are always a good bet in DC because of their limited stock. Streetcar was always a dumb idea and you won't be making any money off that either way at this point, but the neighborhood's appreciation is based on a lot more than that.
Buying a house has always had a risky element so OP may not end up making money. But history and caution suggests she will be fine, and will be financially better off than if she had spent $40k a year on rent for the next 3 years for a similar house.